Most likely, the only problems are over-confidence and complacency. Italy is very good at capitalizing on these weaknesses, especially with Mario Balotelli in a high-spirit after netting 2 goals against Germany.
Another interesting prediction is whether Fernando Torres, Cesc Fabregas, Xabi Alonso or Mario Balotelli is able to snatch the Golden Boot from the other Mario Gomez of Germany. The Spaniards are currently at 2 goals each and Balotelli at 3 goals, and it would be a great finals if any one of them won. This would mean the match would not be a dull one, and worth staying up for.
My pick: Spain to win
Score: 2-0
* amended on 3 July 2012
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